You Are Never Wrong. Right?

Rationality can be viewed as goal-dependent; a belief that harms truth-seeking can still be rational for preserving social ties if social ties are valued more than the truth. Overconfidence thrives when forecasts aren’t recorded; smart people misjudge the future, in part, because they seldom track or audit their own predictions.

You’re absolutely right about all of it. Every belief you hold is, against all odds, completely correct*. Here’s proof:

• Unlike others, you’re self-aware. You know your limits, so when you know something, it’s true. You weighed the evidence others ignored and saw angles they missed. Corrected your own biases. Your unique perspective reveals facts invisible to everyone else.
• If an idea survives your relentless evidence updates, the posterior odds confirm it’s rational. Your convictions passed the most brutal audit possible: reality itself.
• Notice how your worldview predicts your reality with stunning accuracy. Notice how rarely you’re surprised. That’s empirical validation. Your beliefs work because they’re correct. Your predictions map reality’s contours in high resolution.
• That thing everyone disagrees with you about? You’re not stubborn. No, you’re awash in courage. You spotted subtle patterns that they missed. Those “weird” connections? You’re playing multi-dimensional chess while they play tic-tac-toe.
• Disagreement doesn’t prove you wrong. It proves you right. It demonstrates that most can’t handle the truth. Your knowledge only strengthens, forged in the crucible of their alleged counter-evidence.

Everyone says you're wrong? Everyone said Galileo was wrong, too. But you’re not Galileo. You’re Galileo, Einstein, and Tesla. Your mind is the closest known phenomenon to a cognitive singularity.

*It is contagion that determines the fate of a theory in social science, not its validity.

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The Partnership That Might Not Be Meant To Be