The Measurement Illusion: Nothing Is Truly Quantifiable
Despite the beliefs of some psychologists and promises of Martech vendors, nothing related to human psychology and behavior is absolutely quantifiable. Nothing. But we live in an era of attribution models, conversion funnels, and predictive analytics, complete with dashboards that promise precision and a clear course of action. This mathematical certainty is largely an illusion because we human beings aren't equations. We're messy, contradictory, and influenced by thousands of unmeasurable variables, including the fight someone had that morning, the song in their head, the memory triggered by your brand color, and the cultural context they bring to your message.
The Cost of Imprecision or Why Precision Matters
Marketers routinely invoke psychological concepts to explain consumer behavior and design campaigns. We speak about "creating FOMO," "leveraging social proof," and "avoiding cognitive dissonance." But many psychological terms don't mean what marketers think they mean.
Misunderstanding psychological mechanisms leads to misapplied strategies, wasted budgets, and failed campaigns. Worse, it leads to unethical practices based on flawed assumptions about how influence works.
Not Just Habits. Not Just Routines. Rituals.
Habits are behaviors you do on autopilot that are efficient, functional, and often mindless. Think brushing your teeth, checking your phone, and grabbing a drink. Simple things you've done a thousand times before that have minimal disruptive impact on your day-to-day existence. Rituals are behaviors you do on purpose that carry weight, mark transitions, express gratitude, create focus, or reinforce your identity.
Less Message, More Impact
Guess what? When your audience doesn't respond, adding more messaging usually makes it worse. This usually means when you notice campaign performance dropping, you assume the problem is insufficient explanation, and that assumption right there is costing you conversions.
Your Decisions Are Shaped Before You Ever Make Them
Your Decisions Are Shaped Before You Ever Make Them
We marketers have built entire functions around the assumption that choice happens in the moment, at the shelf, on the landing page, during the demo. Unfortunately, choice isn't a point-in-time event. It's the endpoint of a long chain of impressions, exposures, and associations accumulating long before your customer enters an active buying cycle. You're probably thinking this is just semantic. It's not. Why? Because you aren't just competing for attention in-market engineering, you're trying to shape the mental habitat in which their selection feels inevitable.
Denial Is A Save Now, Pay Later Scheme
Believing that others will react as we would is the single most dangerous myth in marketing. Only human beings can look directly at something, have all the information they need to make an accurate prediction, perhaps even momentarily make the accurate prediction, and then say that it isn't so.
Read Books And Become Better At What You Do
Yes, it's important to keep abreast of the latest technological developments and tools of the moment for reasons that are not germane to this musing. And it is equally important to read (or listen to) books that reveal the consistent and pervasive variables of human nature. Why? Because within those books are timeless truths that will help you better understand how to communicate in an impactful and even meaningful way with the audience you seek to serve.
84% Is Only 16% Less Than 100%
84% of purchase decisions are made before shopping even begins, according to new research tracking 1.2 million consumer journeys across 200+ categories, meaning that by the time your prospect actively shops, the decision is already made.
Over months and years, your favorite and not-so-favorite brands build neural pathways beneath your conscious awareness so that when the buying moment arrives, what feels like a rational choice is actually the echo of impressions accumulated long ago.
Stuck Because Of Where You Are Or Because Of What You're Carrying?
You probably aren't feeling weighed down by a lack of opportunity or talent. Or maybe you are. And most of us are a bit buried under the things we haven't let go of, including the habits we've stopped questioning, the patterns we keep feeding, the noise we mistake for progress.
You Are Never Wrong. Right?
Rationality can be viewed as goal-dependent; a belief that harms truth-seeking can still be rational for preserving social ties if social ties are valued more than the truth. Overconfidence thrives when forecasts aren’t recorded; smart people misjudge the future, in part, because they seldom track or audit their own predictions.
The Partnership That Might Not Be Meant To Be
Co-branding represents one of marketing's most seductive opportunities and one of its most treacherous. When executed brilliantly, partnerships can catapult your brand into new cultural conversations, unlock previously inaccessible audiences, and confer instant credibility. But the same mechanism that amplifies can also diminish. Your carefully cultivated brand identity can be absorbed, overshadowed, or, worse, forgotten entirely if the partnership lacks a strategic framework.
How the Consumer Mind Works
The human brain uses predictable mental shortcuts (heuristics) to navigate overwhelming choices. The question isn't whether these psychological mechanisms exist but how we use them ethically and effectively.
Effective marketing works with, rather than against, four dominant natural patterns.
I Don’t Have An Opinion On That
One of the most valuable things we can do in life is to limit the amount of opinions we have. Why? To start with we consistently overestimate how widely others share our views, beliefs, and behaviors. This false consensus effect drives three problems.
Beware The False Consensus Trap
You launch a campaign you love.
Your team loves it.
Your boss loves it.
Then it flops.
Welcome to false consensus land, where marketers believe their ideas resonate with everyone when they connect with no one because they assume their audience thinks like them. The act of projecting your preferences onto strangers allows you to mistake team enthusiasm for market validation. Essentially, this bias tricks you into believing your opinions represent the norm when they don't.
The Performative Nature Of Everything These Days
Welcome to the digital high school cafeteria where everyone competes for attention with louder claims, flashier presentations, and more outrageous promises.
Have you joined the performance circus or are you building something serious?